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Analysis 12 of 19Space

How many rockets reach orbit each year, and who launches them?

How many orbital launch attempts have there been each year since 1957, by country and by government or commercial provider, how often do they succeed, and what is behind the recent surge?

The short answer There have been 7,172 orbital launch attempts since Sputnik in 1957, and 92.9% succeeded. 324 attempts in 2025 was a record, up from 107 in 2018 and above the 129 of 1976. SpaceX made 167 of the 2025 attempts, the United States 177 and China 91, and 69.4% used commercial launch services.

  • Public data
  • 2026 partial, to Oct 2, 2026
  • GCAT release 1.8.8
Source
Jonathan McDowell, GCAT (General Catalog of Artificial Space Objects); cross-checked against CelesTrak SATCAT
Period
1957 to Oct 2, 2026
Licence
CC BY 4.0, credit GCAT (J. McDowell)
Charts
4, each with its data table and CSV

Key figures

  • 7,172Orbital launch attempts since 1957GCAT, to Oct 2, 2026
  • 324Attempts in 2025A record year; 107 in 2018
  • 92.9%Success rate since 195796.6% in 2025
  • 51.5%Made by SpaceX in 2025167 of 324
  • 69.4%On commercial launch services, 2025225 of 324

The charts

Chart 1Lead chart · who launches

In 2025 the United States made 177 of 324 orbital launch attempts, China 91 and Russia 17.

Who launches, and how has that changed since 1957?

Attempts per year, stacked by the launching state. The Soviet Union and Russia made more attempts than the United States every year from 1967 to 1995 and peaked at 108 in 1982. The United States made 54.6% of the 2025 attempts, and China has launched more than Russia every year since 2018. 2026 is partial, to Oct 2, 2026.
Download CSV

GCAT, J. McDowell · public data

By country: 70 rows. GCAT launch list: rows with LaunchCode O (orbital) and outcome S or F, by UTC year; country is the launching state of the Agency in GCAT's organisations table. Europe is France, ESA, ELDO, Italy, the UK and Germany.
YearUnited StatesSoviet Union and RussiaChinaEuropeOther countriesAll attempts
1957120003
195823500028
195918100019
196028900037
196141800049
1962552100076
1963462200068
1964603400094
19656646010113
19667146012120
19675172031127
19684575010121
19693578011115
19702883152119
19713087162126
19722977011108
19732284110108
19742283221110
19752891342128
19762599302129
197724102002128
19783089103123
19791689113110
19801589013108
19811998124124
198218108111129
19832297124126
19842295343127
198518100130122
1986994232110
1987997224114
19881192484119
19891675072100
19902679563119
1991196118291
1992275547295
1993254817283
1994254958491
19952933311379
19963027411274
19973629612487
19983325611378
19992922416576
20002932516385
2001212318356
20021725512564
2003231974457
2004182282252
2005142367353
2006212367764
2007172399563
20081926117467
2009223266874
20101430147671
20111630199781
201216231911978
20131931148779
201422321511888
2015192619111085
2016201622111382
2017291918111390
20182717371016107
2019202234916101
20203512371015109
20214316561514144
2022752164616182
20231041867223214
20241401765330255
20251771791831324
20261251370721236

Chart 2Government and commercial

Commercial launch services carried 69.4% of attempts in 2025.

How much of launching is commercial?

GCAT's launch service code marks each flight as a government rocket or one of four commercial variants. The first launch with a commercial service code is in 1984. In 2025, 225 of 324 attempts were commercial, against 99 government. The commercial share of the 2026 attempts to Oct 2, 2026 is 72.5%.
Download CSV

GCAT, J. McDowell · public data

Provider type: 70 rows. Launch service type from GCAT's Group column: G is a government rocket; C, CO, CG and CX are commercial variants (commercially operated, on behalf of a government, or with a government customer). Seven launches carry no code. Share = commercial / all attempts, rounded to 0.1.
YearGovernment rocketsCommercial rocketsNot classifiedCommercial share (%)
19573000.0
195828000.0
195919000.0
196037000.0
196149000.0
196276000.0
196368000.0
196494000.0
1965113000.0
1966118020.0
1967127000.0
1968121000.0
1969115000.0
1970119000.0
1971126000.0
1972108000.0
1973108000.0
1974110000.0
1975128000.0
1976129000.0
1977128000.0
1978122010.0
1979110000.0
1980108000.0
1981124000.0
1982129000.0
1983126000.0
1984123312.4
1985119302.5
1986106312.7
1987112201.8
1988112705.9
19898415115.0
19909722018.5
19917516017.6
19927322023.2
19936221025.3
19947219020.9
19955128035.4
19964430040.5
19974839044.8
19983939050.0
19993145059.2
20003649057.6
20013323041.1
20023430046.9
20033125143.9
20042824046.2
20053122041.5
20062836056.2
20073231049.2
20083532047.8
20093638051.4
20104031043.7
20115031038.3
20124434043.6
20134039049.4
20144840045.5
20154936042.4
20164537045.1
20173852057.8
20186047043.9
20195744043.6
20204960055.0
20216975052.1
202281101055.5
202375139065.0
202477178069.8
202599225069.4
202665171072.5

Chart 3Reliability

Launches succeed 95.8% of the time since 2020, up from 38.0% in 1957 to 1959.

How often do orbital launches succeed?

Share of attempts with a success score of 75 or more in GCAT, by period. Since 1957, 6,662 of 7,172 attempts succeeded, 92.9%. The first attempts failed more often than they worked; every period since the 1970s is above 93%.
Download CSV

GCAT, J. McDowell · public data

Success rate: 8 rows. Success follows GCAT's launch success fraction: S with no digits scores 100, F scores 0, and digits give the percentage; 75 or more counts as a success. It is the launch vehicle's result, not whether the payload later worked.
PeriodAttemptsSuccessesSuccess rate (%)
1957 to 1959501938.0
1960s92076382.9
1970s1,1891,11093.4
1980s1,1791,12995.8
1990s87381793.6
2000s63560294.8
2010s86282095.1
2020 to 20261,4641,40295.8

Chart 4Recent surge

Attempts went from 107 in 2018 to 324 in 2025, and SpaceX made 167 of them.

What drove the recent surge?

Attempts per year since 2010, split into SpaceX and every other launch provider. SpaceX went from 6 in 2015 to 167 in 2025; everyone else from 79 to 157. 154 of the 324 attempts in 2025 carried a main megaconstellation, GCAT's flag M. The record before 2018 was 129 in 1976, passed in 2021.
Download CSV

GCAT, J. McDowell · public data

The recent surge: 17 rows. SpaceX is GCAT's agency code SPX (Falcon and Starship). The megaconstellation column counts launches GCAT flags M, from every provider.
YearSpaceXAll other launch providersAll attemptsMegaconstellation launches (GCAT flag M)
2010269710
2011081810
2012276780
2013376790
2014682880
2015679850
2016874820
20171872900
201819881071
201912891013
2020258410918
20213011414428
20225912318240
20239412021467
202413512025596
2025167157324154
2026115121236113

01Findings

What the charts say.

  1. In 2025 the United States made 177 of 324 attempts, China 91 and Russia 17. The Soviet Union and Russia made 108 in 1982.

    Chart 1

  2. The first launch with a commercial service code is in 1984; by 2025 commercial services carried 69.4% of attempts.

    Chart 2

  3. The success rate is 95.8% since 2020, against 38.0% in 1957 to 1959 and 82.9% in the 1960s.

    Chart 3

  4. The surge is mostly one provider: SpaceX made 167 of 324 attempts in 2025, and 154 attempts carried a main megaconstellation. Everyone else also grew, from 79 in 2015 to 157.

    Chart 4

02Method

How the figures were built.

Steps

  1. No API. Downloaded launch.tsv (75,992 rows, every launch since 1942, suborbital and orbital) and orgs.tsv, kept rows with LaunchCode O (orbital, 7,189), dropped 17 pad explosions and aborts, and counted 7,172 attempts by UTC year of Launch_Date, by launching state, by launch service type and by outcome. Cross-check: SATCAT's distinct launch designators per year equal GCAT's orbital and deep-space launches that reached space in 59 of 70 years (never off by more than 4), and SATCAT's 2025 count (315) equals the 315 that CelesTrak states for 2025.
  2. An orbital launch attempt is a GCAT launch-list row whose LaunchCode starts with O and whose second letter is S (success) or F (failure). Rows with E (pad explosion) or A (pad abort) are left out because no launch occurred. A launch counts as a success when its score is 75 or higher: S with no digits is 100, F with no digits is 0, and digits give the percentage (S66 is a failure under the 0.75 rule). Country is the launching state of the Agency in the GCAT organisations table (the first listed organisation when the code names two), so a Rocket Lab launch from New Zealand counts as New Zealand. Provider type is the launch service type in the Group column: G is a government rocket; C, CO, CG and CX are commercial variants.

70 yearly rows from 7,172 attempts (7,189 orbital rows, 17 pad explosions and aborts removed). Unit: Number of orbital launch attempts per calendar year (UTC). Every derived figure on this page (changes, indexes, averages, counts) is computed from the published rows, and the table under each chart says how.

Checks

  • Yearly totals add up to 7,172; country and provider-type columns add up to each year's attempts.
  • SATCAT's launch designators equal GCAT's orbital and deep-space launches that reached space in 59 of 70 years and never differ by more than 4.
  • CelesTrak states 315 successful launches in 2025; SATCAT has 315, GCAT 313 successes out of 324 attempts.
  • The licence wording on GCAT's introduction page is read by the script, which stops if it changes. It also stops on any change in the launch list's columns or LaunchCode values.

Where the data comes from

This series is not in Live SQL. The data file behind every chart is data/analyses/space_launches.json, built by data/analyses/scripts/space_launches.py from the source downloads.

Caveats

  • GCAT is one researcher's catalog and is revised as evidence arrives. 2026 is partial: the last launch in the list is Oct 2, 2026.
  • Orbital means the launch targeted a positive perigee. GCAT includes some Starship test flights where this is unclear, and they are counted.
  • Success is the launch vehicle's result under GCAT's success fraction. A payload can fail after a successful launch, and a few launches carry intermediate scores (below 75 counts as a failure).
  • Country is the state of the launch service organisation, not the payload owner or the launch site. Soviet and Russian launches are combined; Rocket Lab flights from New Zealand count as New Zealand.
  • The government and commercial split follows GCAT's launch service code, a judgement about who ran and paid for each flight.

Releases and revisions

  • GCAT Release 1.8.8 (2026 Sep 3), data update 2026 Oct 2; launch.tsv header stamp: 2026 Oct 2 2147:05. Last orbital launch in the list: 2026-10-02 (2026-228).
  • GCAT updates its launch list as launches happen; re-run space_launches.py to refresh.

03Sources

Sources and licence.

Data from GCAT (J. McDowell, planet4589.org/space/gcat). Full citation: McDowell, Jonathan C., 2020. General Catalog of Artificial Space Objects, Release 1.8.8, https://planet4589.org/space/gcat Licence: CC BY 4.0, read from the GCAT introduction page. Public data.

Download the chart data

Each CSV is made in your browser from the rows in that chart's table.

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04Contact

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